Alan Porter Breeding Analysis for Dublin
Dublin is a grade one winning two-year-old by brilliant dual classic winning Champion, and exciting young sire Afleet Alex. He is out of a grade one winning Storm Bird daughter, and from the same female line as Medaglia d’Oro.
Even though Dublin is a Mr. Prospector line stallion, that strain will be back in the fifth generation of his offspring, and we can note that both Afleet Alex and his sire, Northern Afleet, have enjoyed success when crossed back over Mr. Prospector line mares, particularly when the Mr. Prospector/Northern Dancer cross is present. Afleet Alex already has grade one winner Iotapa out of a mare by El Corredor, a son of Mr. Greeley (by Gone West, who can brought in through Grand Slam, Elusive Quality, Speightstown, Proud Citizen and Perfect Mandate); grade one winner Afleet Express (by Distant View); and a graded stakes winner out of a mare by Unbridled (from the Fappiano branch of Mr. Prospector, suggesting such as Unbridled’s Song, Broken Vow, Grindstone and Birdstone, as well as Quiet American, the broodmare sire of a Northern Afleet stakes winner). There are also Afleet Alex stakes winners out of mares by Mr. Prospector line stallions Kingmambo (sire of Lemon Drop Kid) and Gold Fever (by Forty Niner, also available through Distorted Humor, Coronado’s Quest, Trippi, Editor’s Note, Jules, Luhuk, Roar and Twining), with other potential positive branches of Mr. Prospector including Fusaichi Pegasus, Smoke Glacken, Thunder Gulch, City Zip and Not For Love. From the Exclusive Native branch of the male-line of Mr. Prospector’s sire, Raise a Native line, Afleet Alex has a stakes winner out of a mare by Affirmed.
Dublin is himself a product of the Mr. Prospector/Northern Dancer cross, and stallions bred on that cross have done well when bred back over Northern Dancer line mares. Dublin is out of a mare by Storm Bird, and Afleet Alex and his sire, Northern Afleet, have stakes winners (one grade one) out of mares by Storm Cat (by Storm Bird) and his son, Giant’s Causeway (brother to Freud). It could be well worth experimenting with inbreeding to Storm Bird through other Storm Cat sons such as Tale of the Cat, Storm Boot, Forest Wildcat, Catienus, Hennessy (sire of Johannesburg), Forestry, Stormin Fever, Raging Fever, Tabasco Cat, Bernstein, Harlan (sire of Harlan’s Holiday), Pure Prize, and Mountain Cat.
Storm Bird is a genetic relative to Nijinsky II, and Northern Afleet and Afleet Alex both have stakes winners out of mares by the Nijinsky II son, Royal Academy, while Afleet Alex also has stakes winners out of mares Nijinsky II line stallions Strawberry Road and Sky Classic It would also be possible to bring in Nijinsky II via Sky Classic, Green Dancer, Seattle Dancer, Sword Dancer, and Shadeed and his son, Alydeed. Less commonly found, but also useful would be any strains of Nijinsky II’s three-parts-brothers The Minstrel and Far North. Afleet Alex has two stakes winners, one grade two, out of mares by Citidancer (by Dixieland Band), and this branch of Northern Dancer could also be brought in through Dixie Union, Hook and Ladder, Dixie Brass, Dixieland Brass, and Dixieland Heat. There are also stakes winners by Northern Afleet and Afleet Alex out of mares by Danzig and his son, Honor Grades, which suggests trying mares by Belong to Me, Langfuhr, Polish Numbers, Pine Bluff, Dayjur, Ascot Knight, Exchange Rate, and War Front. Northern Afleet carries Northern Dancer through Nureyev, and Afleet Alex has sired Breeders’ Cup Juvenile winner Texas Red out of a mare by Nureyev son, Jeune Homme, opening the possibility of trying mares featuring Theatrical, Atticus, Fasliyev, Stravinsky and Spinning World. it would also pay to try mares descending from Sadler’s Wells – a three-quarters brother to Nureyev – with the most likely U.S. sources being El Prado (sire of Medaglia d’Oro), King of Kings, Horse Chestnut, and Sligo Bay. Stallions carrying Storm Bird have also combined well with mares carrying Northern Dancer through Deputy Minister, and this cross might be tried through Silver Deputy (sire of Posse), Dehere, Salt Lake, French Deputy, Awesome Again, Touch Gold, Deputy Commander and Defrere.
Like many other Mr. Prospector line stallions, Northern Afleet has a good strike-rate over Seattle Slew line mares, including a graded stakes winner out of a mare by Aptitude (by A.P. Indy), and Afleet Alex has stakes winners out of mares Capote (sire of Boston Harbor and Matty G) and Slewacide. The A.P. Indy branch could also be brought in through Pulpit, Malibu Moon, Mineshaft, Golden Missile, Old Trieste, Jump Start, Congrats and Flatter. Other sources of Seattle Slew would include Doneraile Court, Williamstown, Fast Play, Chief Seattle, Slewpy and Septieme Ciel.
From the Halo line, Afleet Alex has already sire two stakes winners, one graded, out of mares by Saint Ballado (sire of Captain Bodgit, Sweetsouthernsaint, Yankee Victor, and Straight Man), while Northern Afleet also has a graded stakes winner out of the same broodmare sire. This also suggest trying mares by Saint Ballado’s brother, Devil’s Bag and his sons, Devil His Due, Diablo, Abaginone, and Twilight Agenda. It could also be worth trying mares by More Than Ready, a grandson of Halo. Afleet Alex also has a stakes winner out of a mare by Rahy (who is out of a sister to Saint Ballado and Devil’s Bag). Halo is a Hail to Reason line stallion, and from the Roberto branch, Afleet Alex has sired graded scorer Called to Serve out of a mare by Kris S. (sire of Arch, Prized, Rock Hard Ten, You And I and Kissin Kris).
Northern Afleet enjoyed success with both the Relaunch and Valid Appeal branches of In Reality, which suggests trying mares by Skywalker, Bertrando, Officer, Cee’s Tizzy, Tiznow, Waquoit, Honour and Glory, Put It Back, Successful Appeal, Valid Expectations, and Valid Wager.
We can also note that Northern Afleet has a stakes winner out of a mare by Broad Brush (sire of Include); a stakes winner out of a mare by In Excess (sire of Indian Charlie); a graded stakes winner out of a mare by Gilded Time, and a stakes winner out of a mare by the similarly-bred Time For a Change, both from the Damascus line, which is also available through Private Account (sire of Personal Flag, Private Terms, Unaccounted For and Valley Crossing; grandsire of Afternoon Deelites); and descending from Ribot through Graustark and His Majesty (from a son of Pleasant Tap, but also available through Pleasant Colony, Pleasantly Perfect, Cormorant, and Go For Gin).